Financial Fundamentals
Published: April 2nd, 2023 by Chris McGrath
Last Updated: November 17th, 2024
Note for readers outside the USA
This is the start of a series of articles about Personal Finance.
I'd estimate that at least 75% of the content, with the Personal Finance tag, will be generically applicable to everyone around the world.
It's worth pointing out that this content was written by an American. So it's likely that there are instances of opinionated advice that are more relevant within the contextual circumstances of the US. (I suspect this will be true for credit cards, college, and taxes.) There are also instances of US specific vocabulary terms used.
The parts that are US-specific may still be worth reading by non-US readers who are willing to determine if some insights could be applicable to similar scenarios within their own country. As many countries have conceptually similar terms, tax systems, retirement plans, and access to similar investments.
That said, non-US readers should try to identify and ignore non-applicable advice.
Vocabulary and Concepts
Interest
A percentage fee given in exchange for borrowing money.
Examples:
- You Receiving Interest:
Banks tend to offer 1% interest to encourage people to leave money in their savings account. If you leave $1,000 in a savings account for a year. By the end of the year it'll grow to $1,010(1000 • 1.01)
- You Paying Interest:
If you borrow $1,000 on a line of credit for a year without paying it back, and you're charged 10% interest, by the end of the year $1100 would be required to pay off the loan.
Credit Card
A method of paying for goods and services on credit.
(Credit: An agreement that you'll borrow now and repay later.)
Potential Features of Interest:
- The ability to carry a small balance interest free:
Instead of being charged interest daily, you get charged interest at the end of a monthly billing cycle. This nuance is unique to credit cards and is significant in that it makes it possible to carry a small balance year round without having to pay any interest on it. (Explained on the Financial Tips and Tricks page) - The ability to avoid overdrafting your checking account:
If you need to make a purchase when your checking account has a $0 balance. Using your credit card instead of your debit card, will allow you to avoid an overdraft fee of $10-35. - Purchase Protection: (credit cards have it, debit cards don't)
- Example 1:
If your credit card becomes lost or stolen and someone makes a fraudulent purchase. As long as you report it in a timely manner, you can be refunded for the charge and won't have to pay for the fraudulent purchase. - Example 2:
You might buy some item well below market price from a random website. Eventually realize you never received a package, so you research the website a bit more and discover you were scammed by a fraudulent site. You can inform your credit card company and request a refund.
- Example 1:
- 1-5% Cashback on purchases:
Credit card companies charge merchants credit card processing fees of 1.5 - 3.5% of the transaction. To encourage consumers to pay with credit card instead of cash/debit card, some credit card companies offer cash back. Example Scenario:- You buy $100 worth of goods from a merchant on your cash back credit card.
- The credit card company charges the merchant a $2.74 processing fee.
- The merchant gets $97.26
- You get $2.00 cash back
- The Credit card company still makes $0.74 from the processing fee.
Traps to Avoid:
- Cash Advance option: Never do this with a credit card (outrageous fees).
- Carrying a Balance you can't pay off: High Interest Rates (~18-30%)
- 0% Interest for time period: Makes it easy to fall into trap #2
LOC (Line of Credit)
Basically a preapproved loan.
If you have a $5,000 line of credit. You can choose not to use it, not using it means you pay no interest. The advantage of having one is having access to money with 0 lag time. If your car breaks down, and you need it fixed the same day, but the mechanic only accepts cash, it's not a problem, just transfer $500 from the line of credit into your checking account. Then withdrawal the cash.
How it's different from a credit card:
- There's no penalty associated with a cash advance, so it's a reasonable option for short term borrowing of small amounts of cash.
- You get charged interest daily.
- Tend to have lower interest rates that credit cards (Example: 10% vs 20%)
HELOC (Home Equity Line of Credit)
A line of credit, with a low interest rate
(~4% vs ~10%), because it's secured by the value of your home.
You can usually establish a credit limit of up to 80% your Home's Equity.
(HomeEquity = HomeValue - Mortgage)
Inflation
Inflation refers to the total amount of money in circulation increasing over time. The increase is the result of a government printing new money year over year. When more money comes into existence, the relative value of the money goes down. Basically, the purchasing power of money decreases over time.
According to worlddata.info the average US inflation rate is 3.8%
(1960-2021).
This means that, on average, the cost of goods in USD doubles every 18.5
years. (2 ≈ 1.038^18.5
)
Examples of Inflation:
If this year, a 50 gram bar of chocolate is $1.00.
Then next year, you can expect one of the following outcomes:
- Outcome A: "Inflation" (of price) The same bar of chocolate to cost $1.04
- Outcome B: "Shrinkflation" (of quantity)
You still pay $1.00 for a bar of chocolate, but instead of a 50 gram bar, you get a 48 gram bar. - Outcome C: "Shrinkflation" (of quality)
You still pay $1.00 for a 50 gram bar of chocolate, but the factory tweaks the recipe, so the product can be made using cheaper ingredients, so the quality of the product gets worse over time.
Stocks
Stocks represent fractional ownership of a company.
(Note: shareholder is a synonym for stock owner.)
Two main ways to earn money from stocks
- Buy. Hold until the company grows in value. Then sell at a higher price.
- Some stocks pay dividends to their shareholders.
Taxes Associated with Stock Ownership:
- If your stocks are part of an Investment Account:
- If they offer dividends, then you'll have to pay taxes on the dividends every year.
- If you sell a stock for profit, then you'd pay capital gains taxes.
Note: Since you can choose when and how much of your stock to sell, you can effectively choose when and how much you'll be taxed on the gains.
- If your stocks are part of a Retirement Account:
Then profits will either be tax free or taxed as income, depending on the type of retirement account.
Risks associated with buying individual stocks:
- Unpredictable Volatility: You can't predict an individual company's future stock price. (Both from a short term and long term perspective.)
- You're not guaranteed to make money: A company could experience a permanent decline or stagnation (growth below the rate of inflation).
- It's possible to lose 100% of your initial investment: If the company goes bankrupt, its stocks become worthless.
Capital Gains
Capital Gains are profits from the sale of a property or investment.
Capital Gains Taxes Notes
Properties and investments that you sell at a profit are taxed at:
- The short-term capital gains tax rate, which is higher, if you own them for less than a year before selling.
- The long-term capital gains tax rate, which is lower, if you own them for at least a year before selling.
Dividends
Dividends are company earnings that are shared with stockholders. (These have their own tax rate)
Index Funds
An index fund is an exchange traded diversified bundling of investments. They're Inherently diversified, because they're based on economic indexes, which are statistically significant sample representations of a larger group of funds.
Examples:
- Vanguard Total Stock Market Index uses a sample size of 4100 stocks, as statistically significant representation of the stock market as a whole. Buying 1 share is equivalent to setting up an investment portfolio diversified between 4100 different stocks.
- The S&P 500 is a collection of ~500 stocks, it's a statistically significant representation of a subset of the stock market called large-cap stocks. Buying 1 share is equivalent to setting up an investment portfolio diversified between 500 different stocks.
Index Funds mitigate the majority of risks associated with stocks:
- Predictable Volatility: While it's still impossible to accurately predict the short term up and downs of the stock market as a whole. You can make accurate long term predictions about the stock market: If you average out the ups and downs over the past 100 years, it works out to at least a 10% annual return. If you average the last 10 years, it works out to at least 12%.
- You're guaranteed to make money in the long term: When a stock market crash occurs, the market tends to recover within 2 years.
- Diversification makes it statistically improbable to lose 100% of your initial investment. If a company listed in the index went bankrupt, it'd be replaced by a new company that better represents the index. Since index funds rebalance themselves over time, they're considered a relatively low risk passive investment.
ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds)
An ETF (Exchange Traded Fund)
is basically a hybrid between a stock and an Index Fund. ETFs and Index Funds
both have low fees.
The following covers how ETFs and Index Funds differ:
- How Index Funds vs ETFs are normally sold:
- Index Fund:
You can usually buy a penny's worth of an index fund at a time. (An exception to this is that Vanguard sometimes has minimum entry requirements for an Index fund. In some cases, they'll require you to save up $3,000 before you can buy the fund, but once you hit that threshold then you could buy a penny's worth at a time as in going from $3,000 to $3,000.01) - ETF:
An ETF is usually sold like a stock. It has a set price, and you buy it one unit at a time. In other words, you can't normally buy fractional pieces of a unit or a penny's worth of an ETF at a time. So if the ETF is trading for $467.92, you have to save up that much before you can buy one unit of it; Likewise, if you wanted to sell $100 worth of your ETF you can't, you have to sell it as a unit. (An exception to this is that Fidelity offers investors the ability to buy and sell fractional shares of ETFs.)
- Index Fund:
- Diversification of Index Funds vs ETFs:
- Index Funds tend to contain ~100-4100 stocks
- ETFs that mirror Index Funds exist.
- There's also ETFs that can target specific industry niches like GPUs, Artificial Intelligence, and Semiconductors. Since they're more targeted, they can contain ~25-50 stocks. ETFs that are more targeted / have a lower diversification of holdings can potentially have higher ROI and higher risk than Index Funds.
- What high ROI usually means:
The 10-year average ROI for an ETF could be higher than an index fund's 10-year average. (A targeted "hot" sector of the market can beat the market as a whole.) - Higher risk can mean a few things:
- Risk will be explained in detail on the "Investing vs Gambling" page, but for now here's an introduction to what's meant by higher risk.
- The Highest risk worst case scenario is that you could lose all or part of your original investment after a 10-year investment horizon.
- High Risk can also represent the bad scenario of making less than you could have. After 10-years of investing in a high risk investment, you may end up earning less than if you simply invested in a lower risk surefire bet option, like a US Total Stock Market Index Fund.
- High Risk can also refer to high short term risk, but low long term risk. For example: If you were 100% invested in an index fund, you might see a -20% temporary loss during a bad year. If you were 100% invested in an ETF, you might see a -60% temporary loss during a bad year. If you have the ability to leave your investment untouched during bad years, it can recover risk free (assuming you bought an investment with a high 10-year average ROI). The investment could bounce back to it's pre-crash value within 1-2 years. The risk would mainly apply to the scenario of you being forced to sell the investment during a bad year. (Let's say you started off the year with 100k then after -60% market crash, your 100k worth of ETF was temporarily worth 40k. If you were forced to sell at 40k. That'd be equivalent to losing at least 60k, plus the future accelerated growth that usually happens after a bad year.)
Bonds, CDs, and Laddering
Bonds and CDs are both intended to generate low risk fixed income. Laddering is a technique applicable to both that stabilizes cashflow and lowers risk. The idea is that you generate fixed income by loaning money to a creditworthy entity, and they pay you interest. The loans are intended to be low risk and low ROI that's near the rate of inflation. Both usually have fees associated with early withdrawal of funds.
Bonds
Bonds are loans issued by governments and corporations that pay interest once every 6 months. (Federal government bonds are called Treasury Bonds. State and local government bonds are called Municipal Bonds. Corporations offer Corporate Bonds.)
- It's possible for the entity that issued the bond to default on the loan (fall behind on payments) or even go bankrupt.
- Bonds are categorized according to the issuer's credit worthiness.
- Government bonds have very low risk as they can raise taxes as needed.
- Corporations have credit scores.
- Corporations with good credit are said to offer "Investment Grade Bonds".
- Corporations with bad credit are said to offer "Junk Bonds", as there's a risk of bankruptcy.
CDs (Certificate of Deposit)
CDs are offered by financial institutions like banks, credit unions, and brokerage firms.
- USA based CD's are less risky than bonds because they're insured by the FDIC up to $250,000 per depositor, per insured bank, and for each account ownership category.
- Interest can be paid daily, monthly, quarterly, or yearly depending on terms.
Laddering
Laddering is where split your purchase of Bonds and CDs into parts, and try to spread the purchase date of those parts over time.
- Many Bonds pay out twice a year. If you buy them all at once, you'd get 2 large payments a year, which can cause cashflow issues.
- Splitting a purchase into multiple purchases has a few important benefits:
- You can spread out the payments to stabilize your cashflow. Rather than
getting 2 lump sums a year. You can get interest paid twice a month or
as often as you like.
By either:- Buying pre-existing Bonds/CDs with different maturity dates, or
- Spreading out new purchases into 12 parts, then buying each 12th on the 1st and 15th of the month for 6 months.
- The interest rates and maturity dates of Bonds and CDs change over time. Buying over time helps smooth out interest rate fluctuations.
- Purchasing over time makes it easier to implement Manual Diversification
of Bonds and CDs.
- You should avoid Bond Index Funds as they're diversified with low ROI bonds that brings the 10-year average ROI below the rate of inflation.
- You're better off cherry-picking Bonds and CDs that offer at least 4% interest to keep up with inflation.
- Brokerage Firms make it easy to cherry-pick good fixed income assets.
- You can spread out the payments to stabilize your cashflow. Rather than
getting 2 lump sums a year. You can get interest paid twice a month or
as often as you like.
Common Misconceptions
Cryptocurrencies
Digital currencies secured by cryptography.
Traps to Avoid:
- The United States IRS considers cryptocurrencies to be taxable:
- If you earn crypto through mining or staking it's considered as taxable income.
- If you buy crypto and leave it on an exchange or move it to a private wallet, then you don't need to pay taxes.
- The trap that blindsides crypto noobs is that IRS Notice 2014-21,
says cryptocurrencies are taxed like stocks.
In layman's terms:- Converting your crypto back to cash is a taxable event.
- Using an exchange to trade / convert from 1 crypto to another is also a taxable event.
- It's gets worse: That "taxable event", is a "capital gains" taxable event. Also, if you haven't owned the crypto for at least a year before selling or exchanging it, then you'll pay the short term capital gains rate, which is higher than the long term capital gains rate.
- You'll also probably need to buy crypto tax preparation software like cointracking.info to generate a crypto tax report that can be fed into your normal tax prep software (Spoiler: They're all hard to use).
- You'll need to start using the more expensive premium version of H&R Block or whatever you use to do your taxes, since capital gains taxes are involved.
- ~99% of Cryptocurrencies and 100% of NFTs are
scams. The 1% that aren't are in an overvalued bubble.
(This message is brought to you by someone who understands cryptography, owns a small amount of cryptocurrency, and believes that cryptocurrency has intrinsic value and unrealized potential.) - Why it's worth explicitly calling this out:
- Diversifying stock holdings, is a strategy for mitigating risks associated with investing in stocks.
- It's very easy to mistakenly think of cryptocurrencies like stocks and think that you can apply the concept of diversification to cryptocurrencies to mitigate risk. The thing is, diversification works for stocks, because they're legit. Trying to mitigate risk associated with owning crypto by diversifying your "Crypto Portfolio", isn't very effective, because there's a high risk of diversifying between multiple scams.
- Best Case Scenario: After spending 1 week of research per crypto you plan to invest in, you find 3 that look legit and try to diversify between those 3.
- Note: "Crypto Index Funds" tend to be scams as well. It'd be very difficult to find enough legit cryptocurrencies to put together a proper crypto index fund. Whoever sells that will likely do things like hold the "private key" of a cryptocurrency wallet "on your behalf", to simplify things for you. They'll often leave you in the dark about how risky that is, and often have you miss out on forked currencies that are only accessible to private keyholders.
- It's also very common to lose 100% of your cryptocurrencies in scenarios where you don't own the private key to your wallet. The majority of Crypto Exchanges offer the "service" of holding their client's private keys. Yet hundreds of exchanges have closed due to hacks, negligence like storing private keys unencrypted, scams, fraud, and shady practices like gambling with (and subsequently losing) their customer's cryptocurrencies. Even if you use a crypto exchange deemed trustworthy due to regulations and years without issue. There's still the possibility of a government forcing an exchange to freeze or seize your cryptocurrencies. The only way to protect against that is to own your own crypto wallet and manage the private key or secret seed phrase yourself. (A secret seed phrase is basically a long password that can be used to deterministically generate a public private key pair.) The most realistic way to do that in a manageable and maintainable way is to own a few non-diversified cryptocurrencies.
Assets vs Liabilities
-
Asset (Generic Context): A desirable
resource or trait that an entity owns, controls, or has access to that
can be used to create value, positive outcomes, or advantages.
Examples of Assets (Generic Context):- Healthy mind, healthy body
- Supportive family, fulfilling relationships, social services
- Healthy environment, living in a safe neighborhood, stable housing
- Study habits, growth mindset, and good-tempered personality
- Highly skilled drama free supportive coworkers
- When someone owes you a favor or is willing to do you a favor
-
Liability (Generic Context): An
undesirable burden, flaw, or obligation that tends to result in the
devaluing of resources, negative outcomes, or disadvantages.
Examples of Liabilities (Generic Context):- Mental illness, health conditions related to bad genetics
- Toxic family, toxic relationships, predatory cults in society
- Polluted environment, living in a dangerous neighborhood, homelessness
Side Note: Rainwater worldwide was deemed unsafe to drink in 2022 - Gambling habit, drug addiction, fixed mindset, character flaws
- Incompetent coworkers with problematic behaviors that make them more trouble than they're worth
- Feeling obligated/indebted to someone like you owe them something
- 1st source of confusion about the topic of Assets vs Liabilities:
- These words each have a 2nd definition, with a slightly different meaning.
- The problem is, these 2 valid definitions of the same word can be contradictory. An item that's an asset under the 1st definition, could be a liability under the 2nd definition. This can create cognitive dissonance in people who forget or don't realize that the words have more than one definition.
- Asset (Financial Context): A transferable resource that can be sold for money now or used to earn money later.
- Liability (Financial Context):
Obligations that are expected to consume money.
Examples of Liabilities (Financial Context):
debts, commitments, and expenses.
- Examples of the 2 definitions leading to contradictions:
- If someone owned a luxury mansion, boat, car, or recreational vehicle:
- By interpreting the definition in a generic context, one could argue that these are liabilities that drain wealth.
- By interpreting the definition in a financial context, one could argue that these are assets that can be sold.
- Debt and Lines of Credit:
- Under a financial context, the definitions would consistently label any form of debt as a liability, since debt represents owing money.
- Under a generic context, where the definitions are viewed more in
terms of advantages and disadvantages. Debt and lines of credit can
be leveraged to generate value or advantages.
- If you have access to a paid off LOC, you have an advantage. If it's paid off, it's not actively triggering any interest or causing expenses. You also gain the advantage of being able to substitute a high interest loan with a LOC's interest rate, which would then save you money.
- If you have access to a 21-month interest free loan of $10k. In theory, you could leverage it to allow you to buy $10k worth of bonds at 5% ROI, with negligible risk, you'd effectively be earning interest by re-loaning out your interest free loan. You could earn ~$750 in interest after 18 months, sell the bonds to immediately pay off the loan in full, and keep the interest you made.
- If someone owned a luxury mansion, boat, car, or recreational vehicle:
- 2nd source of confusion about the topic of Assets vs Liabilities:
- If you're interested in self-improvement, it's a reasonable idea to try to take inventory of the assets and liabilities present within your life from the perspective of the generic definition.
- An intuitive self-improvement strategy is to try to become aware of your advantages and disadvantages, and then set self-improvement goals around trying to increase one and minimize the other.
- If you try this thought exercise, it's actually problematic in practice,
as it becomes equivalent to trying to classify life in terms of good and
bad. Life rarely falls neatly into binary
classification systems. Few things are intrinsically good or bad, like
a healthy body and mind. Most things in life you'll end up feeling
indifferent or ambivalent
about, as they'll end up being an asset or a liability, depending on
circumstances.
- Examples of items that are hard to label as an asset or a liability
(from the perspective of the generic meaning):
- This 2-min YouTube video explains how a house can be an asset or a liability depending on circumstances.
- If you invest in a new stock that could gain or lose money within a years time, wouldn't you need the ability to predict the future to label it an asset or a liability?
- What do you call mixed blessings? (simultaneous advantages and
disadvantages)
- If you grew up in a rough environment, but it made you tough and resourceful, did it turn out to be a bit of an asset?
- If a person lacks skills from growing up in a sheltered environment, did that become a liability they need to overcome?
- Cash held with the purposeful intent of leveraging it to avoid negative outcomes is an asset.
- Cash held without purposeful intent has negligible value, and is in fact a liability when you take inflation into account, as the cash will lose value/purchasing power over time.
- Keeping some inventory on hand is an asset to a business.
- Having excess inventory is a liability for a business. They have to store it, manage it, organize it, and carry the risk of not being able to sell it.
Asset Liability Modeling
$Net_Worth = $Assets - $Liabilities
The above is a common formula used by accountants. They identify assets and liabilities from a financial context. An advantage of the definitions used in a financial context over the meaning of the words in a generic context is that ambiguity is eliminated. This consistency of classification in turn enables consistency in financial reporting, and allows entries to fit neatly into a mathematical formula.
Asset Liability Modeling:
- Is good at helping you visualize where you stand at a given point in time.
- It's bad at helping you visualize where you're going.
- It pairs well with Value Flow Modeling, which is a complimentary system that's good and bad at the reverse. (The earlier 2-min YouTube video, about how a house can be an asset or a liability depending on circumstances, was basically analyzing homeownership from a value flow perspective.)
Value Flow Modeling
Value Flow Modeling is a way of organizing assets and liabilities (according to their generic meaning) into 4 categories:
- Positive Value Flow
Estimate the value brought in or advantages generated by an asset along with a description of the asset.
Examples:+10% ROI/year:
Long term investing in a total stock market index fund+ability to invest $5k/year:
Budgeting and living $5k/year below your means+opportunities:
Habit of forcing yourself to study X hours a week
- Negative Value Flow
Estimate the value drain or disadvantages caused by a liability along with a description of the liability.
Examples:-2.8% ROI/year:
Money in a +1% ROI savings account against -3.8% inflation-60% value/5-years:
Depreciation from buying a new car+assholes, narcissists, and entitled karens in society:
Compulsory Education Systems that:- Fail to view life skills, ethics, and moral character development as essential subjects to include as part of a mandatory curriculum and graduation requirements.
- Fail to emphasize the necessity of systematically investing in
developing, ingraining, and maintaining life skills and positive
character traits.
(Acceptable behavior, respect, social skills, social etiquette, social expectations, common courtesy, good manners, personal accountability, self-discipline, self-management, conflict resolution, emotional intelligence, anti-entitlement, gratitude, perspective, etc.) - Aren't given the funding, support, autonomy, and authority necessary to implement consequences necessary to maintain discipline and accountability.
- Aren't given the option of implementing drastic corrective measures when warranted.
- Indeterminate Value Flow
Risky things that could go either way, but you'll need to wait for the future to judge if it was a good idea or not. Should include a prediction and context.
Examples:Could go either way:
Short Term Investing, starting a garden.Probably not worth it:
College with loans and without a guaranteed job or pay bump.
- Negligible Value Flow
This is a catch-all for anything you deem isn't worth trying to optimize. Things like hobbies that are mixed blessings in that they cost money but help you relax.
Value Flow Modeling is very useful for evaluating and prioritizing goals, especially Financial Investment, Generic Investment, and self-improvement goals. Rather than taking inventory of where you stand today. It helps you take inventory of where you're going. Once you do that, it becomes easier to set goals that will optimize the velocity of your net worth.